Tuesday, March 04, 2008

What is the definition of victory?

Counting the votes in Texas will continue throughout the night. If you want to check the vote, examine a Texas State Site that gives the vote and delegate total. Senator Clinton is ahead in the popular vote but Senator Obama is ahead in the delegate count.

But here may be the competing narratives:

The Clinton camp will state it won the night as it won Ohio, may win Texas, and created enough doubt in the caucus portion of Texas- hence the allegations about problems in voting. If the Clinton camp can discount the caucus and Obama's victory, then it can claim victory.

The Obama camp will declare victory in the delegate count for the night, winning Vermont and Texas (because of the Texas caucus). The Obama camp will have a strong lead at the end of the evening. Tomorrow, Thursday, or Friday some Super Delegates will announce their support for Senator Obama.

Senator Clinton may gain a few delegates tonight but it will not be enough to close the gap and Senator Obama will win more in Wyoming and Mississippi than Senator Clinton will win tonight. However, Senator Clinton will continue to campaign through June.

The Clinton camp has a meeting scheduled for tomorrow. I do not think she will drop out anytime soon.

Question: is Senator Clinton fighting for the Presidency? The VP? Health Care Mandates?

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