Saturday, November 01, 2008
Although I am going to avoid aiming at early-70s Adult Contemporary of Chicago V (and they have entire albums that sounded like that, man!).
But in the meantime, Harrogate will keep posting Music, just to stay in the conversation. What a great song this is. Too bad the band didn't do more stuff like this......
Friday, October 31, 2008
The thesis is that the election is close and, consequently, undecided voters will decide the election for McCain (but only if those undecided voters live in swing states and if they can make up the deficit between Obama and McCain.)
Refutations to Davis' arguments:
(1) Polls show national polls are tightening, especially a Gallup poll that had the gap at two. Problem: Gallup now has the gap at eight.
(2) State polls: you have Iowa to very close; Obama has Iowa as close but still in double-digits. No one trusts you. In the South West & Colorado, you stopped advertising in Colorado, meaning you cannot win it. You will not win New Mexico and will most likely not win Nevada. Besides: it does not matter if McCain, at some unmentioned time, has made up ground on voters. He is not doing that now.
(3) Ohio and Pennsylvania: what exactly is your evidence? That you have been campaigning there? Well that makes sense.
(4) Obama has a challenge hitting 50%. Well, he may not win Missouri, North Carolina, or Indiana. I bet he comes close in those states than McCain does in Colorado, Virginia, or Pennsylvania.
(5) Early Voting: Sorry, those sporadic voters are turning out. There is actual evidence of this.
(6) Expanding the field: Done that. See Virgina, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina.
(7) The elctrocty on Monday will help the GOTV on Tuesday? Money, which you spent on advertising, would have been better.
By the way, if your campaign were doing so well, you would not need to count on others to help you. Just saying.
Palin believes the First Amendment covers politicians and not the press.
[Q, host Chris Plante:] ... Is the news media doing its job? Are you getting a fair shake, the Republicans getting a fair shake, this year?
[Palin:] I don't think they are doing their job when they suggest that calling the candidate out on their record, their plans for this country, and their associations is mean-spirited, or negative campaigning. If they convince enough voters that that is negative campaigning for me to call Barack Obama out on his associations, then I don't know what the future of our country would be in terms of First Amendment rights and our ability to ask questions without fear of attacks by the mainstream media. Look at Joe the Plumber, good old Joe the Plumber in Toledo, Ohio, he just asked a simple, straightforward question, and the media started investigating and attacking him. So, you know, there is some fear there, and in those terms, no, I don't think that they've been doing their job in that kind of context.
I wonder if she has ever read the Constitution and its Amendments. I honestly do no think she has.
As Mark Ambinder notes, Obama's campaign manager, Davis Plouffe, stated in a conference call today, "The Die is Being Cast as We Speak." This comment refers to the strength of the numbers in the early voting states where a good percentage of the Obama vote is from non-traditional voters.
The Gallup traditional likely model, which is different from the expanded model, has Obama by eight. At the beginning of the week, Obama was up by two.
Four Days to go.
I offer this not just as a McCain dig, but because this song--hell, this album-- marked the awakening of my political mind. At least at a level deeper than "there's nothing on TV because of this dang Iran-Contra hearing."
I also credit this album for my not becoming a racist, d-bag cretin, but that's a whole other story.
Thursday, October 30, 2008
It appears that with a rally of just over 6,000 supporters, 4,000 of those there were students from the neighboring school districts. From First Read at MSNBC:
A local school district official confirmed after the event that of the 6,000 people estimated by the fire marshal to be in attendance this morning, more than 4,000 were bused in from schools in the area. The entire 2,500-student Defiance School District was in attendance, the official said, in addition to at least three other schools from neighboring districts, one of which sent 14 buses.
This is just blatant hypocrisy on the part of the Right.
The YCT's would gain more respect if they could put together a coherent argument rather than the shit it peddles.
In its their defense, one member plays the Socratic victim card: no one is presenting the conservatve argument and, hence, the truth. It is hard to believe that at A&M there is no one defending the conservative view. It is certainly hard to believe that no one, not the National Review, Weekly Standard, Fox News, etc. etc. etc. is defending the conservative view. I cannot believe that the members of the YCT are that stupid.
Their other defense by the YCT is that the group is asserting its first amendment right. This is just an off topic argument as no one is calling for the censorship of the YCT, much to the conservative's group dismay. Those who protest the egg-toss argue to the YCT that the group's message is counterproductive, ineffective, and offensive-- it's not bloody persuading anybody you fools. This is not a call for censorship and certainly not a call for prior restraint.
But, if you think its your best argument, play the role of victim. In your own ignorance, you weaken the institution of A&M. In your failure to develop a responsible argument, you make it easy for people to call you a bunch of racists. It a shame that your acts must reflect on the university.
Well, maybe they will "fail like common people," right, Bill?
"There's nothing else to do."
Did you want to add something, Keith?
Devoid of any irony, Jay Cunningham, a member of the YCT, stated:
"Please step up and let people who actually do support our views have a voice because right now there is no voice for conservatives because of the crowd that was surrounding me."There is no voice for the Conservative movement, especially at A&M. Right. We believe you. The world has tried to silence you. Boo-Hoo.
According to reports, there will be another event on Friday. I hope that people in Texas will protest it.
Update: After thinking about it, I guess we can say that the use of an egg toss as a protest is a sign of progress. I have not heard reports about videos that concern black-face or of parties with a "ghetto" theme occurring on the A&M campus. Maybe someday the YCT will not feel so insecure about their viewpoints and try to debate rather than intimidate dissenting viewpoints on their conservative campus. I guess that would involve diminishing their racists and misogynist attitudes though. It is easy to bully people when you possess a super-majority.
As the YCT at A&M demonstrates, once again, childish antics are the best way to start a debate a reasoned debate.
Harrogate, after considering the many brilliant brain things in his head, Officially endorses Barack Obama for Presidency of the United States. For further explanation, see at least half of the posts that he has posted on this site in 2008.
Also, here's the song that Harrogate has listened to three times today already. It's really a wonderful song. He thinks Readers are familiar with it.
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Obama's political ad marries the problems of average Americans with solutions to those problems. Its strength resides on, first, Obama's calmness and, second, the ability of American voters to reach out to other voters. For example, in a time of economic crisis, the story of the women who opens her fridge to find very little for her family reminds the audience of the failures of the Bush Administration and warns against a repeat. The lack of health care for the second couple adds to the country's pain as those who have worked for this country are on the verge of receiving little. Yet, these problems receive rational proposals from the candidate.
While I found the arrangement awkward at times, i.e. the discussion of Obama's mother and his solution for Health Care should have been placed after the older couple whose wife needed insurance for arthritis and the husband, at age 72, worked at Wal-Mart, the production was excellent. As was the timing from the political ad to the live address in Florida. The conclusion of the "Closing Argument" speech is nicely done as well.
I am most impressed with his vision of democracy as it weakens a conception of elite democracy but does not engage in the anti-elite demagoguery that Palin and McCain expounds. While Obama may play an important role (at times narrator) most of the solutions will need the support of the main actors (the American people) in our drama of democracy. We see this with his discussion of the economy and education. Obama asked the American people to participate in government and, more importantly, in their own lives as the life of one presents consequences for another. The story of the American Democracy is the story of those who participate in whatever way they can...
Obama also argues where President Bush went wrong and offers a corrective reading on the American promise: in times of crisis, the people must sacrifice.
While the are many differences between Obama and McCain, he does not attack McCain, which makes McCain's post-ad attack seem childish, again. On Fox News, O'Reilly interviewed someone about William Ayers to make the case against Obama. At one point O'Reilly asked the former FBI agent why his testimony mattered. Exactly.
The critique of the ad will be that Obama is buying democracy. This argument seeks to weaken Obama's electoral authority, especially before the election. But this argument rests on conceptions of campaign finance and political equality that remain unmentoned by its advocates. It seems odd that those on the right criticize the aspects of capitalism they cannot control. Wait, did I say odd? I meant something else.
To Walt Whitman, who said, "Did you, too, O friend, suppose democracy was only for elections, for politics, and for a party name? I say democracy is only of use there that it may pass on and come to its flower and fruit in manners, in the highest forms of interaction between [people], and their beliefs -- in religion, literature, colleges and schools -- democracy in all public and private life...."May this vision return some day....
Tuesday, October 28, 2008
Gov. Crist stated that the right to vote is sacred and that "many have fought and died for this right....This is not a political decision. This is a people decision."
In response, one plugged in GOPer stated, "He just blew Florida for John McCain."
As Jonathan Chait at TNR stated, the quote by the "plugged-in" Republican "quote concedes a lot in terms of the GOP's claim to democratic legitimacy."
After eight years, maybe democracy will arrive in Florida after all.
In this piece, Hasen refutes most of the arguments that focus on Obama's money and political corruption. Additionally, he points out the competing conceptions of political equality in this campaign: whether political equality ought to refer to whether or not both candidates possesses the same amount of funds or whether or not the candidates should possesses money in proportion to the support they can receive in the polity. The first argument seems ideal, until you consider the factors that can be a problem such as some media markets are more expensive than others; limiting the money that the candidates receive does not limit the money some 527s can spend (Swift Boat Veterans for Truth). The second argument provides a better vision of democratic as more people can contribute.
Hasen concludes that because of Obama's success, the nominees in 2012 will not participate in the public financing system.
Interesting story. I'll say more later.
I’m sympathetic to Eskew and Wallace, and not just because they’re decent people. They’ve held their tongue from leaking what a couple of McCain higher-ups have told me—namely, that Palin simply knew nothing about national and international issues. Which meant, as one such adviser said to me: “Letting Sarah be Sarah may not be such a good thing.” It’s a grim binary choice, but apparently it came down to whether to make Palin look like a scripted robot or an unscripted ignoramus. I was told that Palin chafed at being defined by her discomfiting performances in the Couric, Charlie Gibson, and Sean Hannity interviews. She wanted to get back out there and do more. Well, if you’re Eskew and Wallace, what do you say to that? Your responsibility isn’t the care and feeding of Sarah Palin’s ego; it’s the furtherance of John McCain’s quest for the presidency.
With seven days to go, this infighting is surreal. Bizarre really.
The campaign fell to the high school level where McCain "snubbed" Palin aboard the Straight Talk Express. This is the presidency, not supreme ruler of Homecoming.
I'd hate to follow any of these candidates around for more than a few days. How these people do it is beyond me.
But finally, last week, one of my two preamp choices was listed for sale. The price was right, so I bought it. It's a full-function tube preamp with a 100% tube phono stage. This is my first foray into vacuum tubes, so I was eager to give a listen.
Because the conditions for the reestablishment of the listening room have not yet been met, my audition of the new preamp was rather makeshift. The active monitors sat on floor, flanking both sides of the preamp, which sat in the middle of the room, also on the floor. My iPod was connected directly to the preamplifier.
I have say that I didn't expect much out of the system on this particular evening because the audio files on my iPod are compressed to the point that songs lose their sense of realism. But when I pushed play, the music just sang. Everything sounded so right. I could not believe how realistic the tubes made vocals and instruments--especially acoustic instruments--sound. And again, this is through the iPod.
I was so impressed that I called Oxywife into the room to listen. I knew she would also be impressed. And this is no small assumption, as she tends to think that I spend too much money on audio equipment. For the record, she is probably right. She also tends to say things like, "Well, I don't really hear much of a difference," usually just to emphasize her belief that a purchase was wasteful.
But the night my preamp arrived, things were different. As I shuffled through numerous songs, I paused the iPod on Michael Buble's cover of "You Don't Know Me." Since Oxywife likes Buble, I invited her to listen to this song. To my surprise, she said "Wow! That really sounds good." And then shortly thereafter, it happened: Oxywife experienced her first eargasm.
So as a tribue to my beautiful wife, I post here for you the song that made her moan.
Monday, October 27, 2008
In 2008, the RNC must advertise for John McCain in Montana. (The RNC conceded Colorado (9 Electoral Votes), Virginia (13), New Mexico (5), and will lose Iowa (7) & Nevada (5)). That's 286 (Bush 04) - 39 (C, V, NW, I, V) = 247, or, no path to 270, even with Pennsylvania.
This is just a terrible media buy. What difference does Montana make? If McCain loses there, he will still not win Colorado.
Update: Here is a realistic McCain 270 strategy. I think number one is the best option for McCain.
From Slate: Christopher Hitchens on Palin. Basically, Palin is so ignorant that she does not even know she is ignorant. It's the fruit flies, stupid.
And the GOP does not care whether or not she is ignorant. That is sad for the American voter.
These days, I run a small country ham and pork skins business. Barack Obama will fight for a fair economy where small businesses like mine have the freedom to grow, and he'll defend the Second Amendment to protect the hunter's way of life.
I'm just saying Mr. P-Duck. The times are a changing.
Frozen in the place I hide
Not afraid to paint my sky with
Some who say I've lost my mind
Brother try and hope to find