Tuesday's Primaries...

It's Tuesday, which means it is primary day in the US. Only two more weeks left....

Senator Clinton will win Kentucky today, most likely by a margin of over 20%. If she desires to catch up on the popular vote, she will hope that the number will be closer to 30%. In her speech tonight, look for her to discuss the electability, her primary lead in the popular vote, her lead in the electoral college, and the vote in Michigan and Florida. She will also make a plea for her audience to donate at Hillary Clinton.com (and she will say it like that). Her speech will be mainly directed at the remainder of Super Delegates who have not committed publicly.

Senator Obama will win Oregon. According to one poll, PPP, he has already won. Remember, Oregon is a mail-in election. With 74% of the vote counted, Obama has a lead of 60 - 39%. You can read the survey if you wish. If Senator Clinton were to win, she would need almost all of the remaining 26%, which is not going to happen. Look for a win between 16% - 20% for Senator Obama.

Senator Obama will speak in Iowa tonight, where he will claim a majority of the pledged delegates tonight, which is a symbolic victory since there are a number of Super Delegates who stated they would support the winner of the pledged delegates. If Obama picks up 50 - 60 delegates today, then he will have a majority even with counting Michigan and Florida at their full vote. Now, whether or not the DNC allows Michigan and Florida to have a full vote is another story. In his speech, he will most likely focus on the general election and ought to call the DNC to ask for a resolution on Michigan and Florida.

Tomorrow, both Senator Obama and Senator Clinton will campaign in Florida.

Finally, campaign fundraising totals are due today. According to Terry McAuliffe, Senator Clinton raised between $14 and $20 million. No word from the Obama camp.

This will all be over soon.